Kullaya, Siril Michael
(2019)
Evaluation of malaria
morbidity trends in the complex humanitarian settings in north western Tanzania.
Masters thesis, The Open University of Tanzania.
Abstract
The excess mortalities and morbidities resulting from disease outbreaks which occur
in complex humanitarian situations can be prevented through timely and effective
preparedness and response planning. The aim of this study was to evaluate malaria
morbidity trends in the complex humanitarian emergencies in North Western
Tanzania in the past 8 years and the associated factors. The health facility records
were reviewed to collect information on the number of confirmed malaria cases in
the past 8 years from the refugee populations obtained from the health information
system for the camp-based population. Total of 749 refugee camp residents were
interviewed to collect information on malaria illness episodes and the associated
factors. Malaria morbidity show both seasonal trends associated with temperature
and rain variations and non-seasonal irregular fluctuations associated with
epidemics, refugee population dynamics and global climatological events. Rainfall
leads malaria morbidity by a time lag of 1 month whereas refugee population size
leads malaria morbidity by a time lag of 3 months. Recurrent financial costs for
managing uncomplicated malaria cases are on the increase despite efforts to
subsidize the malaria treatment commodities. This increasing financial costs from
the supply side is significantly associated with increasing malaria illness episodes (pvalue
<0.005). Wide range of factors appears to influence malaria morbidity in the
complex humanitarian emergency settings in north western Tanzania. These range
from climatological, household location and environmental factors, accessibility and
use high impact interventions. Increasing financial costs for managing malaria cases
calls for enhancing advocacy for funding and resource mobilization months prior to
rainy seasons to mount effective malaria control response.
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